1) Polls don't lie. Last week's results show Chabot and Aguilar both at 43%, with 14% undecided. We are so confident in our poll
, we posted the results and methodology for all to view. Memo (click to view)
Tabs (click to view)
. This came after Aguilar received the lowest vote total for any incumbent Democrat in California's June primary election.
2) The San Bernardino terrorist attack occurred in the heart of this district. No Progressive is going to hold a seat in this region where a terrorist attack took place. Chabot's official ballot title is "Counter Terrorism Military Officer" -- and that's a big deal in CA-31.
5) The Progressive Establishment is nervous about Aguilar's weak candidacy in 2016. Aguilar has been placed in a program run by the Democrat Congressional Campaign Committee called "Frontline" to protect their most vulnerable members.
This is one of America's best opportunities to win back a House seat in 2016.